“Nate Silver Says Trump Will Be Blamed if GOP Suffers Midterm Losses”

Key points

• Nate Silver released a final forecast predicting trouble for the GOP in Tuesday’s midterms.
• His FLIPR model gives Democrats an 80 percent chance to flip enough Senate seats.
• Silver notes Democrats lead in generic polls and Trump’s low approval ratings coincide.
• He argues historical midterm losses for the party in power support a GOP setback.
• Silver states that even if House is held, a ‘blue wave’ in the Senate is possible.