Global emissions slow, but the world heads towards 2°C of warming.
UNEP projects 2.6–2.8°C this century without faster cuts, with a 10% chance of exceeding 3.4°C.
OriginalSourceNatureUnited KingdomLeanCenterCredibilityPublished00:00 UTCRatings: AllSides, MBFCSourceNatureUnited KingdomLeanCenterCredibilityPublished00:00 UTCRatings: AllSides, MBFC
“Global emissions slow — but world hurtles towards 2 °C of warming”
UN: Emissions plateau may occur, warming still near 2°C by mid-century
Key points
- UNEP report says global greenhouse-gas emissions may have plateaued last year.
- Without faster cuts, warming could reach 2.6–2.8°C this century.
- There is a small 10% chance warming exceeds 3.4°C on current trajectory.
- A potential overshoot of 1.5°C is possible with rapid decarbonization and CO2 removal.
- Renewables expand rapidly; 2025 emissions similar to 2024 due to lower land-use emissions.
How it got here
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10 10 Global emissions slow, but the world heads towards 2°C of warming.
UNEP projects 2.6–2.8°C this century without faster cuts, with a 10% chance of exceeding 3.4°C.