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2026 is forecast to be the hottest year on record as COP31 opens.

Berkeley Earth puts the forecast at 95% confidence, with El Niño and fossil-fuel CO2 driving temperatures.

SourcesBBC07:30 UTCNPR10:00 UTCFollowSaveHighlight

By concise.

Key points

From BBC’s report
  • Berkeley Earth forecasts 2026 will surpass 2024's record with 95% confidence.
  • October was the hottest on record according to Copernicus climate service.
  • El Niño and rising CO2 from fossil fuels drive global temperature increases.
  • WMO predicts 2026 among the four warmest years; 2027 may stay hot.
  • COP31 negotiations focus on emissions cuts and adapting to extreme weather.

Why it matters. More heat raises the stakes for emissions cuts and adapting to extreme weather.

What to watch. COP31 agreements on emissions and adaptation.

Coverage

Oldest first · UTC

“Scientists predict 2026 hottest year on record as climate talks begin”

“Scientists are predictng this could be the hottest year on record as the COP31 climate summit opens.”

Key points from BBC
  • Berkeley Earth forecasts 2026 will surpass 2024's record with 95% confidence.
  • October was the hottest on record according to Copernicus climate service.
  • El Niño and rising CO2 from fossil fuels drive global temperature increases.
  • WMO predicts 2026 among the four warmest years; 2027 may stay hot.
  • COP31 negotiations focus on emissions cuts and adapting to extreme weather.
SourceBBCUnited KingdomOwner: British Broadcasting CorporationLeanCenterCredibilityRatings: AllSides, MBFCRead at BBC

Coverage

Oldest first · UTC
SourceBBCUnited KingdomOwner: British Broadcasting CorporationLeanCenterCredibilityRatings: AllSides, MBFCRead at BBC“Scientists predict 2026 hottest year on record as climate talks begin”

“Scientists are predictng this could be the hottest year on record as the COP31 climate summit opens.”

Key points from BBC
  • Berkeley Earth forecasts 2026 will surpass 2024's record with 95% confidence.
  • October was the hottest on record according to Copernicus climate service.
  • El Niño and rising CO2 from fossil fuels drive global temperature increases.
  • WMO predicts 2026 among the four warmest years; 2027 may stay hot.
  • COP31 negotiations focus on emissions cuts and adapting to extreme weather.

AI wrote this story from the reports above. No person checked it before it was published. How concise works

How it travelled

The United Kingdom’s press was first, at 07:30 on Monday 9 November.

  • A report of the story
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  • In the story
    1. Elsewhere
      1. United Kingdom: 1 outlet, the first at 07:30 on Monday 9 November
        • BBC, at 07:30 on Monday 9 November
      2. India: 1 outlet, the first at 07:59 on Monday 9 November
        • BusinessLine, at 07:59 on Monday 9 November, a related report
      3. Ukraine: 1 outlet, the first at 09:37 on Monday 9 November
        • UNN (Ukrainian National News), at 09:37 on Monday 9 November, a related report
      4. United States: 1 outlet, the first at 10:00 on Monday 9 November
        • NPR, at 10:00 on Monday 9 November
    SourceconciseEach outlet’s first report of this story, by its country.Reports from 24 h before the Brief to 48 h after.Found after the Brief picked its stories. They don’t change its ranking.From each outlet’s feedPress freedom: RSF World Press Freedom Index 2026Checked 17:06 on Monday 9 November

    Why it’s in the Brief

    Ranked 4th of 10.

    Starting score
    5.0
    Public-interest topic
    +1.0
    Public-interest terms in the text
    +1.25
    High-reliability sources
    +0.75
    Corroboration by independent outlets
    +0.8
    Score
    8.8

    The ranking is the same for everyone.

    Perspective mix. 1 center-left · 1 center.RatingsAllSides and Media Bias/Fact CheckLean and credibility are curated from their public ratings.Unknown outlets stay unrated, never guessed.

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