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2026 is forecast to be the hottest year on record as COP31 opens.

Berkeley Earth puts the forecast at 95% confidence, with El Niño and fossil-fuel CO2 driving temperatures.

SourcesBBC07:30 UTCNPR10:00 UTCThe Korea Herald02:41 UTCRappler10:00 UTCFollowSaveHighlight

BBC, NPR, The Korea Herald and Rappler

Key points

From 2 outlets
  • Berkeley Earth forecasts 2026 will surpass 2024's record with 95% confidence. SourceBBCUnited KingdomOwner: British Broadcasting CorporationLeanCenterCredibilityRatings: AllSides, MBFCRead at BBC
  • October was the hottest on record according to Copernicus climate service. SourceBBCUnited KingdomOwner: British Broadcasting CorporationLeanCenterCredibilityRatings: AllSides, MBFCRead at BBC
  • El Niño and rising CO2 from fossil fuels drive global temperature increases. SourceBBCUnited KingdomOwner: British Broadcasting CorporationLeanCenterCredibilityRatings: AllSides, MBFCRead at BBC
  • WMO predicts 2026 among the four warmest years; 2027 may stay hot. SourceBBCUnited KingdomOwner: British Broadcasting CorporationLeanCenterCredibilityRatings: AllSides, MBFCRead at BBC
  • COP31 negotiations focus on emissions cuts and adapting to extreme weather. SourceBBCUnited KingdomOwner: British Broadcasting CorporationLeanCenterCredibilityRatings: AllSides, MBFCRead at BBC
  • UN Climate Change Conference COP31 opens in Antalya, Turkey, marking the 31st session since 1995. SourceRapplerPhilippinesLeanUnratedCredibilityUnratedRead at Rappler
  • Ocean heat and sea levels reach record highs for the 10th consecutive year. SourceRapplerPhilippinesLeanUnratedCredibilityUnratedRead at Rappler
  • Philippines urged to declare calamity in areas hit by Super El Niño amid COP31. SourceRapplerPhilippinesLeanUnratedCredibilityUnratedRead at Rappler
  • UN climate chief says COP must translate science into action and avoid silver bullets. SourceRapplerPhilippinesLeanUnratedCredibilityUnratedRead at Rappler

Why it matters. More heat raises the stakes for emissions cuts and adapting to extreme weather.

What to watch. COP31 agreements on emissions and adaptation.

Coverage

Oldest first · UTC

“Scientists predict 2026 hottest year on record as climate talks begin”

“Scientists are predictng this could be the hottest year on record as the COP31 climate summit opens.”

Key points from BBC
  • Berkeley Earth forecasts 2026 will surpass 2024's record with 95% confidence.
  • October was the hottest on record according to Copernicus climate service.
  • El Niño and rising CO2 from fossil fuels drive global temperature increases.
  • WMO predicts 2026 among the four warmest years; 2027 may stay hot.
  • COP31 negotiations focus on emissions cuts and adapting to extreme weather.
SourceBBCUnited KingdomOwner: British Broadcasting CorporationLeanCenterCredibilityRatings: AllSides, MBFCRead at BBC

“UN climate summit kicks off in Turkey”

“ANTALYA, Turkey (AP) — World leaders, delegates and climate activists on Monday kicked off talks in Turkey on curbing climate change, which in the last year has led to rising temperatures and deadly heat waves in Europe and beyond, and played a role in disasters such as the devastating floods in…”

SourceThe Korea HeraldSouth KoreaLeanUnratedCredibilityUnratedRead at The Korea Herald

“[Kasalikasan] Here we go again: Climate talks kick off in Turkey”

“‘The world has been addressing climate change together for over three decades, yet the numbers are still alarming’”

Key points from Rappler
  • UN Climate Change Conference COP31 opens in Antalya, Turkey, marking the 31st session since 1995.
  • WMO warns 2026 may be among the four warmest years on record due to Super El Niño.
  • Ocean heat and sea levels reach record highs for the 10th consecutive year.
  • Philippines urged to declare calamity in areas hit by Super El Niño amid COP31.
  • UN climate chief says COP must translate science into action and avoid silver bullets.
SourceRapplerPhilippinesLeanUnratedCredibilityUnratedRead at Rappler

Coverage

Oldest first · UTC
SourceBBCUnited KingdomOwner: British Broadcasting CorporationLeanCenterCredibilityRatings: AllSides, MBFCRead at BBC“Scientists predict 2026 hottest year on record as climate talks begin”

“Scientists are predictng this could be the hottest year on record as the COP31 climate summit opens.”

Key points from BBC
  • Berkeley Earth forecasts 2026 will surpass 2024's record with 95% confidence.
  • October was the hottest on record according to Copernicus climate service.
  • El Niño and rising CO2 from fossil fuels drive global temperature increases.
  • WMO predicts 2026 among the four warmest years; 2027 may stay hot.
  • COP31 negotiations focus on emissions cuts and adapting to extreme weather.
SourceThe Korea HeraldSouth KoreaLeanUnratedCredibilityUnratedRead at The Korea Herald“UN climate summit kicks off in Turkey”

“ANTALYA, Turkey (AP) — World leaders, delegates and climate activists on Monday kicked off talks in Turkey on curbing climate change, which in the last year has led to rising temperatures and deadly heat waves in Europe and beyond, and played a role in disasters such as the devastating floods in…”

SourceRapplerPhilippinesLeanUnratedCredibilityUnratedRead at Rappler“[Kasalikasan] Here we go again: Climate talks kick off in Turkey”

“‘The world has been addressing climate change together for over three decades, yet the numbers are still alarming’”

Key points from Rappler
  • UN Climate Change Conference COP31 opens in Antalya, Turkey, marking the 31st session since 1995.
  • WMO warns 2026 may be among the four warmest years on record due to Super El Niño.
  • Ocean heat and sea levels reach record highs for the 10th consecutive year.
  • Philippines urged to declare calamity in areas hit by Super El Niño amid COP31.
  • UN climate chief says COP must translate science into action and avoid silver bullets.

AI wrote this story from the reports above. No person checked it before it was published. How concise.news works

How it travelled

Türkiye’s press was first, at 12:02 on Monday 9 November.

  • A report of the story
  • A related report

Not drawn: HuffPost, The Independent, The Korea Herald and 2 more. They ran only copies.

Not drawn: Kyodo News+. We don’t know its country.

  • In the story
    1. Türkiye: 1 outlet, the first at 12:02 on Monday 9 November
      • Sözcü, at 12:02 on Monday 9 November, a related report
  • Elsewhere
    1. Japan: 2 outlets, the first at 21:26 on Monday 9 November
      • Japan Today, at 21:26 on Monday 9 November, a related report
      • Mainichi Shimbun, at 00:30 on Tuesday 10 November, a related report
    2. Philippines: 1 outlet, the first at 10:00 on Tuesday 10 November
      • Rappler, at 10:00 on Tuesday 10 November
    3. United States: 1 outlet, the first at 02:06 on Wednesday 11 November
      • AP News, at 02:06 on Wednesday 11 November, a related report

Türkiye

Press freedom 163rd of 180 · RSF 2026

First report at 12:02 on Monday 9 November.

Sözcü

Machine-translated from Turkish

“COP31 climate summit begins”

COP31 iklim zirvesi başladı

Show its outlets: Türkiye
  • Sözcü

    9 Nov · 12:02 · 1 report · Related

Sourceconcise.newsEach outlet’s first report of this story, by its country.Reports from 24 h before the Brief to 48 h after.Found after the Brief picked its stories. They don’t change its ranking.From each outlet’s feedPress freedom: RSF World Press Freedom Index 2026Checked 17:54 on Wednesday 11 November

Why it’s in the Brief

Ranked 5th of 10.

Starting score
5.0
Public-interest topic
+1.0
Public-interest terms in the text
+1.25
High-reliability sources
+0.75
Corroboration by independent outlets
+1.6
Score
9.6

The ranking is the same for everyone.

Perspective mix. 1 center-left · 1 center · 2 unrated.RatingsAllSides and Media Bias/Fact CheckLean and credibility are curated from their public ratings.Unknown outlets stay unrated, never guessed.

Earlier

From the archive

In the Brief of Monday 9 November

Earlier

From the archive

In the Brief of Monday 9 November